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. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than a
. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida...
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conversely, if barack obama lost ohio, he would only have an 8% chance of victory. that shows you just how incredibly important ohio may turn out to be. >> well, it's an important -- it's critical. it's a very diverse state. but you know, barack obama's very firm stand in saving the american automobile industry has paid important dividends in ohio. this morning i was in youngstown and youngstown, we produced the chevy cruz. that's a gm product that is the direct result of the president's intervention to bail out the automobile industry. >> as a former commander yourself, how do you think the president's done this week in terms of his role as commander in chief in what was really a national crisis? >> i think he's done extremely well in terms of his sympathy and empathy for the groups, his visit. i think he was smart not to go into new york city, where it's too congested, too many problems. i think he's also done well in terms of showing the power of the office by just the latest move of having the military assist in delivery of fuel. it also shows up the hollowness
conversely, if barack obama lost ohio, he would only have an 8% chance of victory. that shows you just how incredibly important ohio may turn out to be. >> well, it's an important -- it's critical. it's a very diverse state. but you know, barack obama's very firm stand in saving the american automobile industry has paid important dividends in ohio. this morning i was in youngstown and youngstown, we produced the chevy cruz. that's a gm product that is the direct result of the president's...
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if you're in michigan or ohio you can point to that reason why, and that reason why has barack obama's name on it. >> if you listen to the little clips we played, it seems as though barack obama is energized -- >> that's apparent. >> mitt romney is going through the motions. >> let's go to the facts here we have on the table. i love the atmospherics. that's why i wanted to start with this. let's go to this peaking question. dick nixon, richard nixon, he was a smart politician as they go, and he used to believe -- he didn't want to the run all out. you're exhausted by election day. he said you have to peak at the right time. he almost caught kennedy. he was three days late. three more days he might have caught him. humphrey almost caught nixon in '68. these elections go through rhythms. >> mitt romney peaked exactly where john kerry peaked in 2004, the first debate. they both had a first great debate, got a great bounce, and it dissipated -- >> slowly dissipated. >> -- over the course of the campaign, and they couldn't get the wind back. >> i'm not sure obama is peaking at the best mome
if you're in michigan or ohio you can point to that reason why, and that reason why has barack obama's name on it. >> if you listen to the little clips we played, it seems as though barack obama is energized -- >> that's apparent. >> mitt romney is going through the motions. >> let's go to the facts here we have on the table. i love the atmospherics. that's why i wanted to start with this. let's go to this peaking question. dick nixon, richard nixon, he was a smart...
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erin, is ohio pretty much obama territory now? >> we think that it is. and all of the national -- or excuse me, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the romney campaign is seeing is. republicans told me earlier this week that last week, their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evid
erin, is ohio pretty much obama territory now? >> we think that it is. and all of the national -- or excuse me, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the romney campaign is seeing is. republicans told me earlier this week that last week, their polls showed mitt romney up four to five...
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. >> laura, when i think about the obama campaign, ohio says we know we're going to win it. when i speak to republicans they say absolutely we're going antoine it. there's a lot more enthusiasm for mitt romney than there's been before. who am i to believe? >> nobody. i think the one thing that is true about ohio is that it's atypical in the sense that the president is doing badly amongst white men and white working-class men in particular around the country. although romney has been eroding the slight advantage here in ohio with white working class men, what helps the president here is that bailout of the auto industry because that is helping him with his key demographics. so if it really in the end is about ohio and the 18 votes here, then it may be that something has distorted the race here and helped the president. but nobody yet really even dares to call it. the one thing that both sides are saying very clearly is that early voting is very important. a quarter of the state has already voted and half may have vote bid polling day itself. traditionally early voting is the
. >> laura, when i think about the obama campaign, ohio says we know we're going to win it. when i speak to republicans they say absolutely we're going antoine it. there's a lot more enthusiasm for mitt romney than there's been before. who am i to believe? >> nobody. i think the one thing that is true about ohio is that it's atypical in the sense that the president is doing badly amongst white men and white working-class men in particular around the country. although romney has been...
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ohio. i guess some people are still out there scratching their chins, thinking about what they're going to do. >> eliot: i was back when i was in the arena in that game ways skeptical that on the last weekend the undecided would even turn out. i would look at the raw nubs and say that's how it's going to break. i hope i'm not proven wrong, that the president will take ohio and be okay. do the job numbers matter politically? everyone was waiting. will they matter? >> yes, i think they will matter. you know, around the margins, i don't think that the average americans who are more interested in this weekend's football games are sitting around obsessing about the jobs numbers and the readjustments from august and september the way you and i are. but i do think they matter. i think they that create a narrative that says this is a recovery. this is an economy that has been gaining 150 jobs per month this year, and that's a pretty good number given where we were--it's a very good number given whe
ohio. i guess some people are still out there scratching their chins, thinking about what they're going to do. >> eliot: i was back when i was in the arena in that game ways skeptical that on the last weekend the undecided would even turn out. i would look at the raw nubs and say that's how it's going to break. i hope i'm not proven wrong, that the president will take ohio and be okay. do the job numbers matter politically? everyone was waiting. will they matter? >> yes, i think...
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obama will be in wisconsin, ohio, and iowa, both spending time in ohio. but interesting that obama goes to wisconsin which would indicate he is concerned about wisconsin. if ohio goes to romney, obama has to have wisconsin. >> speaking of ohio, the g.o.p. is 250,000 votes ahead of where they were four years ago in early voting. that is a state that obama won by 260,000 votes so they is wiped out the obama lead. >> i am not a numbers person, i try to pull out of that but i try to look at feeling. certainly, when you look at ohio in 2008, i don't think there is any republican who could have sat here with a straight face and said we got this, at least it is a dead heat going in which is what this show has said would happen, that obama would have a fairly good summer, romney would have a good fall and without have an obligate surprise which we did and everything would tighten and come down to turn out on tuesday. >> do you think the bomber jacket top gun look helps president obama? >> it changed my vote. i tell you that. he looked fantastic. i saw the price t
obama will be in wisconsin, ohio, and iowa, both spending time in ohio. but interesting that obama goes to wisconsin which would indicate he is concerned about wisconsin. if ohio goes to romney, obama has to have wisconsin. >> speaking of ohio, the g.o.p. is 250,000 votes ahead of where they were four years ago in early voting. that is a state that obama won by 260,000 votes so they is wiped out the obama lead. >> i am not a numbers person, i try to pull out of that but i try to...
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but this is about ohio, the ad about ohio and president obama still leads in ohio. >> the pushback you are seeing of general motors as well as chrysler is pretty extraordinary in a presidential campaign with major companies basically say that one campaign is being inaccurate in the tv ads. tamron, this has to do everything with ohio. this has all to do with the auto bailout and a reason president obama is doing better with white voters in ohio than might be in places in the south or battlegrounds like in virginia and florida, has to do with the auto bailout. getting support from a lot of people whose jobs are tied to the auto industry. another thing benefiting president obama has to do with the fact labor and the politics of labor very big flash points in the last couple of years and the midwest in ohio, in wisconsin until a lot of people, particularly white members who are union members more apt to support president obama than you would see from white people in other parts of the country. >> garbled what the chrysler chief said but inaccurate to suggest anything different of an allege
but this is about ohio, the ad about ohio and president obama still leads in ohio. >> the pushback you are seeing of general motors as well as chrysler is pretty extraordinary in a presidential campaign with major companies basically say that one campaign is being inaccurate in the tv ads. tamron, this has to do everything with ohio. this has all to do with the auto bailout and a reason president obama is doing better with white voters in ohio than might be in places in the south or...
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>> el presidente de los estados unidos barack obama tienen una pequeña ventaja en vvirginia,ohio y la florida, pero se consideran empatadasos, se realizan encuestasn el las zonas más afectadas por la tormenta . >> sandy le da la oportunidad
>> el presidente de los estados unidos barack obama tienen una pequeña ventaja en vvirginia,ohio y la florida, pero se consideran empatadasos, se realizan encuestasn el las zonas más afectadas por la tormenta . >> sandy le da la oportunidad
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which wipes out obama's final victory margin of 262,000 in ohio, four years ago. what they are saying is if substantially more republicans turn out to vote in ohio, on election day, which is what they traditionally do, they are going to win ohio and you will lose. >> well, i'll tell you what, chris, we'll know in two days who is bluffing and who is not bluffing. the fact is, that if you look at every poll in ohio, we have been ahead, even or ahead in virtually every one and the latest came out this morning, in the dispatch and one thing that is clear, we have a very, very large lead among voters who have voted early. we are going to go into election day with a significant lead, and, so, you know, we -- they can spin it any way they want. what i'm looking at is cold, hard data. who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they ar
which wipes out obama's final victory margin of 262,000 in ohio, four years ago. what they are saying is if substantially more republicans turn out to vote in ohio, on election day, which is what they traditionally do, they are going to win ohio and you will lose. >> well, i'll tell you what, chris, we'll know in two days who is bluffing and who is not bluffing. the fact is, that if you look at every poll in ohio, we have been ahead, even or ahead in virtually every one and the latest...
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look at president obama's map here, and look at the state of ohio. these are all the states, he's going to visit seven of them in the next three days. ohio looks like an airline hub for air force one. it's as if he's got to change planes before he goes to virginia or florida or iowa or wisconsin. he's got multiple stops that will take him to iowa and wisconsin. i'll explain that in a few minutes, but it's all part of his midwest firewall. mitt romney's schedule also as busy. yes, you see two stops in ohio over the next three days. but look at this one here, lester. pennsylvania. it depends on who you talk to. some say it's an insurance policy for the romney campaign because they're worried they can't win ohio. others say it is him trying to get his 300 electoral votes, show that he's got momentum, show that he has got something in this race that could take him much farther than this narrow path to 270. >> polls start closing at 7:00 on the east coast time. what will you be looking at as a bellwether? >> half the battleground has polls closed at 7:00.
look at president obama's map here, and look at the state of ohio. these are all the states, he's going to visit seven of them in the next three days. ohio looks like an airline hub for air force one. it's as if he's got to change planes before he goes to virginia or florida or iowa or wisconsin. he's got multiple stops that will take him to iowa and wisconsin. i'll explain that in a few minutes, but it's all part of his midwest firewall. mitt romney's schedule also as busy. yes, you see two...
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president obama and governor romney both in ohio holding campaign events. we'll check in with our political panel and get a live report on the ground from the campaign following both the president and governor romney. the final four. it all certainly counts now. a? colin powell: yes. when he took over we were in one of the... worst recessions we had seen in recent times... close to a depression. and i saw, over the next several years, stabilization... come back in the financial community. housing is starting to pick up. the president saved the auto industry. and the actions he's taken with respect to... protecting us from terrorism have been very, very solid. and so, i think we ought to keep on the track that we are on. president obama: i'm barack obama and... i approve this message. then you may be looking for help in choosing the right plan for your needs. so don't wait. call now. whatever your health coverage needs, unitedhealthcare can help you find the right plan. open enrollment to choose your medicare coverage begins october 15th and ends december 7t
president obama and governor romney both in ohio holding campaign events. we'll check in with our political panel and get a live report on the ground from the campaign following both the president and governor romney. the final four. it all certainly counts now. a? colin powell: yes. when he took over we were in one of the... worst recessions we had seen in recent times... close to a depression. and i saw, over the next several years, stabilization... come back in the financial community....
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mitt romney's in ohio. president obama's in ohio. john king is in cincinnati of course with cnn election team. and we have people spread out all over ohio. i am here. i have been behind the scenes in the voti
mitt romney's in ohio. president obama's in ohio. john king is in cincinnati of course with cnn election team. and we have people spread out all over ohio. i am here. i have been behind the scenes in the voti
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president obama taking bill clinton to youngstown, ohio. he's not looking to pick up young black voters with bill clinton by his side. he's looking to pick up those blue collar, those elusive white men the president has had so much trouble with. if you were involved in the campaign, would you have kept these two together on the trail or had them hit separate cities in some of the swing states? >> that's an interesting question. i think it's more powerful when president clinton is with president obama. the clinton bump, and it was literally called that following the democratic national convention in charlotte was significant because it was the first time someone got up there and said as only a president could, no president could have fixed the financial mess we were in, the economic trouble we were in in 2008 in just these 3 1/2 years. so president clinton validates the obama economic agenda. i think that it's one thing to say it when he's not with him. when theyer on the trail and able to tell people who voted for obama last time, but are m
president obama taking bill clinton to youngstown, ohio. he's not looking to pick up young black voters with bill clinton by his side. he's looking to pick up those blue collar, those elusive white men the president has had so much trouble with. if you were involved in the campaign, would you have kept these two together on the trail or had them hit separate cities in some of the swing states? >> that's an interesting question. i think it's more powerful when president clinton is with...
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. >> 88 hours in ohio. >> president obama on the ground in ohio vernlg the center of the political universe right now. >> right here in ohio. >> you know that i'll fight for you and your families. >> it is all about ohio. >> do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> and governor romney will be in aetna, ohio. >> this is about eric mac. >> the salesman versus the storm. >> we're going to win on tuesday night. >> all the battlegrounds look winnable for the president. >> we're really down to the last seven states. >> it is still all about the economy. >> we've made real progress. >> you've got this jobs report, the unemployment report. >> definitely a strong jobs report. >> stronger than expected. >> that's good. >> unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. >> he is about as hollow as the tin man. >> if we don't run candy crowley, romney will be the nominee and he'll lose. >>> we begin tonight with the latest on the recovery from the devastation of hurricane sandy. nbc news has now confirmed 94 deaths from the storm. more than half of those killed, 48 d
. >> 88 hours in ohio. >> president obama on the ground in ohio vernlg the center of the political universe right now. >> right here in ohio. >> you know that i'll fight for you and your families. >> it is all about ohio. >> do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> and governor romney will be in aetna, ohio. >> this is about eric mac. >> the salesman versus the storm. >> we're going to win on tuesday night. >>...
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mitt romney's in ohio. president obama's in ohio. john king is in cincinnati of course with cnn election team. and we have people spread out all over
mitt romney's in ohio. president obama's in ohio. john king is in cincinnati of course with cnn election team. and we have people spread out all over
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and if that's not enough for you, on monday, president obama will be back here in ohio with bruce springsteen. diane? >> okay, thank you jake. >>> and also tonight, the latest in our brand new daily abc news/"washington post" polls. tonight, the poll gives mitt romney a one-point edge. so, we asked abc's david muir to tell us his strategy for the final stretch. >> reporter: mitt romney bolting through the battlegrounds. today, on the plane, it was the candidate taking pictures. romney capturing images of his staff sneaking a nap as romney races to the finish. in just the last 24 hours, virginia -- >> virginia, we're going to win on november 6th, i'll tell you that. >> reporter: wisconsin. >> god bless the people of wisconsin. thank you. >> reporter: and tonight, ohio. >> wow, it's good to be back. >> reporter: romney supporters with their own version of that obama rallying cry of "four more years." >> four more days! >> you got that right. >> reporter: and today, romney's closing argument, meant to appeal to the moderate voters, the sliver in the middle that might still be persuadable. promis
and if that's not enough for you, on monday, president obama will be back here in ohio with bruce springsteen. diane? >> okay, thank you jake. >>> and also tonight, the latest in our brand new daily abc news/"washington post" polls. tonight, the poll gives mitt romney a one-point edge. so, we asked abc's david muir to tell us his strategy for the final stretch. >> reporter: mitt romney bolting through the battlegrounds. today, on the plane, it was the candidate...
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ohio has obama over romney 48 funny 2 to 46.3, wisconsin has obama over romney by 2.3 percentage points so ladies and gentlemen, erin says that the governor is on track to win the popular vote, but as of right now, the president looks likes he's ahead in the electoral college. we have to take a break and we'll continue our special coverage of the storm, and the political storm and a bit later benghazi-gate. don't go anywhere, the wind is beginning to pick up here in manhattan. 4g lte is the fastest. so, which supeast 4g lte service would yochoose, based on this chart ? don't rush into it, i'm not looking for the fastest answer. obviously verizon. okay, i have a different chart. going that way, does that make a difference ? look at verizon. it's so much more than the other ones. so what if we just changed the format altogether ? isn't that the exact same thing ? it's pretty clear. still sticking with verizon. verizon. more 4g lte coverage than all other networks combined. >> time for evacuation is over. everyone should now go inside and be prepared to stay inside until weather conditions
ohio has obama over romney 48 funny 2 to 46.3, wisconsin has obama over romney by 2.3 percentage points so ladies and gentlemen, erin says that the governor is on track to win the popular vote, but as of right now, the president looks likes he's ahead in the electoral college. we have to take a break and we'll continue our special coverage of the storm, and the political storm and a bit later benghazi-gate. don't go anywhere, the wind is beginning to pick up here in manhattan. 4g lte is the...
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senator portman, the state most people think may decide the race and that is ohio, the obama camp says they have a big edge in early voting in your state and they also note they have 137 campaign offices around the country but the romney camp has only 39. >>guest: well, you mentioned first of all the real clear politics average in ohio being 2.3 percent in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9 percent. that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning in ohio by the ohio newspapers, showing the race is a dead heat. that is certainly what i feel. i feel like the momentum is on our side. i have been at six rallies the last week and at a dozen victory centers and the energy and enthusiasm is on our side this year. it is interesting to watch but we were down probably five or ten points before the debates and after the debates, well, we are dead even. >>chris: senator warner your state is in the path of huge storm, if you lose power could it affect early voting or an effect on election day? >>guest: well, chris, the governor has declared a state of emer
senator portman, the state most people think may decide the race and that is ohio, the obama camp says they have a big edge in early voting in your state and they also note they have 137 campaign offices around the country but the romney camp has only 39. >>guest: well, you mentioned first of all the real clear politics average in ohio being 2.3 percent in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9 percent. that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning...
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senator portman, the state most people think may decide the race and that is ohio, the obama camp says they have a big edge in early voting in your state and they also note they have 137 campaign offices around the country but the romney camp has only 39. >>guest: well, you mentioned first of all the real clear politics average in ohio being 2.3 percent in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9 percent. that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning in ohio by the ohio newspapers, showing the race is a dead heat. that is certainly what i feel. i feel like the momentum is on our side. i have been at six rallies the last week and at a dozen victory centers and the energy and enthusiasm is on our side this year. it is interesting to watch but we were down probably five or ten points before the debates and after the debates, well, we are dead even. >>chris: senator warner your state is in the path of huge storm, if you lose power could it affect early voting or an effect on election day? >>guest: well, chris, the governor has declared a state of emer
senator portman, the state most people think may decide the race and that is ohio, the obama camp says they have a big edge in early voting in your state and they also note they have 137 campaign offices around the country but the romney camp has only 39. >>guest: well, you mentioned first of all the real clear politics average in ohio being 2.3 percent in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9 percent. that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning...
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but so could president obama, even if romney wins ohio and those other states. the tiebreaker would be colorado. whoever wins colorado in that one scenario wins the white house. and raj and jesse, in the latest about in news poll, colorado was tied. back to you. >> thank you very much, steve. >>> let's bring in our chief meteorologist jeff ranieri. and it's supposed to be beautiful. we're here. the weekend is here. >> i know, i know. this is good timing for a lot of us here as that doppler radar scans around, finding dry conditions across the greater northern california region. and one of the things that really helped to get all this sunshine in here, not only inland, but at the coast is this wind out of the north, and also slightly offshore about 5 to 10 miles per hour. that's all we needed to give us some 70s here across the bay area. 74 in concord right now. 75 in livermore, and 76 in santa rosa. and if you like, this as raj was hinting at, we're going to go even warmer. by this weekend, temperatures expected in the 80s for livermore and also into san jose. l
but so could president obama, even if romney wins ohio and those other states. the tiebreaker would be colorado. whoever wins colorado in that one scenario wins the white house. and raj and jesse, in the latest about in news poll, colorado was tied. back to you. >> thank you very much, steve. >>> let's bring in our chief meteorologist jeff ranieri. and it's supposed to be beautiful. we're here. the weekend is here. >> i know, i know. this is good timing for a lot of us here...
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in ohio, obama is shown winning by five in the "times" poll. they had 8 points more democrats than republicans. and historically there were only 2 points more d's than r's. so that's 6 points off. so instead of romney losing by 5. he wins ohio by one. and in west virginia. >> they have owe become that winning by 2. but they have 8 points more democrats than republicans and historically there is one point more republic than democrat. that's off by a factor of 9. romney wins virginia by seven. >> that's pretty much what rove did on his little board. here's my question. can a pollster assume that all democrats and all republicans are going to vote for whoever is running in their party? can you assume that. >> yeah, you can. >> bill: with any certainty. >> yes, you can you get about 90% voting for their party. so you can it's the independents who split. what the "new york times" is doing is they are taking a poll that is probably initially accurate. i bet that all three of those polls show romney ahead. then they are waiting weighting up the number
in ohio, obama is shown winning by five in the "times" poll. they had 8 points more democrats than republicans. and historically there were only 2 points more d's than r's. so that's 6 points off. so instead of romney losing by 5. he wins ohio by one. and in west virginia. >> they have owe become that winning by 2. but they have 8 points more democrats than republicans and historically there is one point more republic than democrat. that's off by a factor of 9. romney wins...
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to ohio. >> but obama needs -- they both need ohio. let's stipulate that. but he's got a midwestern strategy. if he can do ohio, wisconsin and iowa, he believes he could put it away. romney of course ohio. but he needs virginia and florida. needs if he is going to get his path to 270 and that's why you see him in these two states. >> one thing i mentioned to jessica yellin earlier, the obama crowds in these final few days are no where near where they were four years ago. they were huge four years ago. i don't know if that's a concern to them. i don't necessarily buy that. i think they would love to have tens of thousands of people show up as they did four years ago. that's not happening. >> i think you will see it in the final, final day. i think probably monday or maybe even sunday night. but the fact is, remember how four years ago it was all about the movement. this was a movement and then all these throngs of people would come in. this is now about governance. this has been a hard slug. it takes some work to get tens of thousands o
to ohio. >> but obama needs -- they both need ohio. let's stipulate that. but he's got a midwestern strategy. if he can do ohio, wisconsin and iowa, he believes he could put it away. romney of course ohio. but he needs virginia and florida. needs if he is going to get his path to 270 and that's why you see him in these two states. >> one thing i mentioned to jessica yellin earlier, the obama crowds in these final few days are no where near where they were four years ago. they were...
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obama people claim he had a lead in ohio. changed the dynamic on the ground. >> we now have a rasmussen poll, the first, i believe, of any of them to show romney ahead. the other sho they are tied. it's ted heat of a state romney had in his pocket a month ago. >> if you freeze race -- >> you freeze it to some extent. you leave five days instead of eight days. i'm not sure it's decisive. the polls tell us absent the hurricane, romney is a slow and steady tortoise in the race. be passing obama. he probably still does. look at the national poll. you cannot, if gallup is anywhere near right. gallup has him up six. say he is up three. you can't win national election by three points and lose in the electoral college. this is uncon zeable. if you win in popular vote you lose electoral in the year 2000 the margin is fraction of fraction of fraction of 1% of one state if florida. the national polls they are disconnected, you can't have a disconnect that large between the national and electoral college. >> i find ohio numbers hard to b
obama people claim he had a lead in ohio. changed the dynamic on the ground. >> we now have a rasmussen poll, the first, i believe, of any of them to show romney ahead. the other sho they are tied. it's ted heat of a state romney had in his pocket a month ago. >> if you freeze race -- >> you freeze it to some extent. you leave five days instead of eight days. i'm not sure it's decisive. the polls tell us absent the hurricane, romney is a slow and steady tortoise in the race....